天猫

近日，据路透社报道，在美国宣布对中国众多产品加征关税后，印度方面率先提出了质疑。         A 120-hour forecast track probability map for Typhoon Dolphin from 5 pm on August 7 to 5 pm on August 12. Photo: National Meteorological CenterMultiple national departments and local authorities have activated emergency response measures as Typhoon Dolphin, the 13th typhoon of 2026, approaches China's eastern coast, in an effort to safeguard people's lives and property.
China's National Meteorological Center (NMC) continued to issue a yellow alert for Typhoon Dolphin at 6 pm on Friday. As of 5 pm, the center of the typhoon was about 730 kilometers east of Wenzhou of East China's Zhejiang Province. It was packing maximum sustained winds of 48 meters per second (Level 15) near its center, with a minimum central pressure of 940 hectopascals. According to the NMC's tropical cyclone classification, Dolphin is classified as a severe typhoon.
Dolphin is expected to move westward at a speed of about 15 kilometers per hour while continuing to intensify. It is forecast to enter the East China Sea on Friday night and make landfall along the coast from Zhejiang Province to northern Fujian Province between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning. After landfall, it is expected to move west-northwestward and gradually weaken, according to the NMC's forecast.
At 6 pm on Friday night, China's Ministry of Water Resources launched a Level IV emergency flood response for Shanghai and the provinces of Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian and Jiangxi. The Ministry of Natural Resources activated a Level III marine disaster emergency response for Zhejiang, a level IV response for Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Fujian, and convened a meeting on Friday to coordinate marine and geological disaster prevention and response efforts for Typhoon Dolphin, making comprehensive arrangements for disaster preparedness, the Xinhua News Agency reported on Friday, citing the two ministries.
Coastal provinces have been stepping up preparations as Typhoon Dolphin approaches. According to Xinhua, authorities in Zhejiang Province upgraded emergency responses for Typhoon Dolphin from Level IV to Level III at noon on Friday. Fujian Province also upgraded its emergency response to Level III, according to provincial authorities. 
Typhoon Dolphin is expected to bring strong winds and heavy rainfall to parts of eastern China. According to Xinhua, from Friday to Tuesday, Zhejiang, Fujian, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, Shanghai and Anhui are forecast to receive heavy to torrential rain, raising the risk of flooding in major river basins and smaller rivers. Fujian authorities have also suspended some ferry and passenger transport services and closed tourist attractions in parts of the province as a precaution.
Xu Yinglong, chief forecaster at the NMC, said Typhoon Dolphin is currently being influenced by a combination of the subtropical high, the westerly trough-ridge system and multiple tropical systems, leaving some uncertainty over its track after landfall. Tropical disturbances over the Beibu Gulf and the western Pacific could also affect Dolphin's development and path, according to the official WeChat account of the China Meteorological Administration. 
As Dolphin approaches China's eastern coast, impacts from wind and rain are expected to intensify. Xu said the typhoon could bring stronger localized winds than Typhoon Bavi, the ninth typhoon of this year, while producing heavier and more widespread rainfall, with some areas likely to experience extreme precipitation.
From Friday to Saturday afternoon, waves of 7 to 13 meters are forecast in the East China Sea, while waves of 4 to 6.5 meters are expected in the coastal waters off Zhejiang. The coastal waters off Shanghai and northern Fujian are forecast to see waves of 3 to 4.5 meters. Meanwhile, storm surges of 50 to 120 centimeters are expected along the coast from the Yangtze River estuary to Fuzhou in Fujian Province from Friday afternoon to Saturday afternoon, the Global Times learned from the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center.
Global Times 
。印度钢铁行业的相关人士担心，中国钢铁产业会因为在美国市场“受挫”，而努力寻找新的出口市场，来缓解销售压力。在这一过程中，印度可能会成为中国公司的目标，这很可能会对印度本土的钢铁产业造成“威胁”。

其中，印度钢铁协会的秘书长萨海表示，如今的印度，已经面临着严重的“进口威胁”，来自美国等“钢铁消费经济体”的制裁举措，给作为钢铁生产国的中国“关上了大门”。

在这种情况下，中国很可能会加大对印度的出口力度，与印度本土钢铁制造商进行直接竞争，进而影响他们的市场份额、定价能力和盈利能力。

实际上，印方之所以发出这类抗议，与美国近期公布的一系列新政策有关。

B | 不久前，美国政府宣布对中国的芯片、电动汽车、医疗产品等众多商品，征收新的关税。其中，中国钢铁也赫然在列。对于美方这种无视市场规则，将经贸问题政治化的行为，中方在第一时间就进行了坚决反对，并表示，中方会采取坚定的反制措施。

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不过，美国这种对华征收关税的举措，看起来声势浩大，但其实并不能起到太大的作用。近几年来，中国对美国的钢材出口，一直呈现出下降的趋势。从最新数据来看，中国钢铁对美国的直接出口量，还不到总量的百分之一。

去年，中国出口钢铁总计高达9500万吨，其中，向美国直接出口的钢材，仅有81.5万吨。也就是说，美国这种“大刀阔斧”的举措，并不会对中国造成多大的伤害。反而会因此对美国的电动汽车、起重机等需要钢材的产品，造成一些间接影响。

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作为钢铁生产大国，中国的钢铁出口正持续增长。仅今年第一季度就出口钢材2580万吨。

E | 据此估算，中国今年的钢材直接出口量，可能会迈入亿吨“大关”。然而，作为中国钢铁最大出口市场的印度，却有些坐不住了。

随着印度经济发展需求的增加，印度的钢铁生产及消费量也在逐步上升。如今，印度已经成为全球第二大粗钢生产国，其钢铁产业发生了显著的增长和扩张。

不过，目前，印度的钢铁行业仍要面临多方面的挑战，包括生产效率、成本控制、以及如何在全球市场竞争中保持优势等。

F | 在这种背景下，印方仍然需要从中国进口钢铁。

G | 数据显示，上一个财年，印度钢铁的消费量增长了13.4%，达到了1.36亿吨。出于对产品的强烈需求，印方从中国进口了270万吨钢铁，几乎比上一年翻了一倍。

为了避免中国钢铁产业抢占印度市场，在此之前，印度钢铁生产商就已经多次对莫迪政府喊话，希望印度政府能提高对中国的钢材进口关税，来保护本国的钢铁企业。

而在印度已经成为成品钢材净进口国的背景下，面对这种潜在的“进口威胁”，印度钢铁行业可能会要求政府采取一系列应对措施，比如提升本国产品的竞争力、实施保护性关税政策、鼓励国内生产和消费、或是通过国际贸易机制，来寻求解决途径。而在美国对华加征关税的背景下，印方很可能会进行效仿。

事实上，对于美国对华加征关税的行为，中方早已表示，这种做法违背了拜登政府曾经的承诺，中方将采取坚决措施来捍卫自身权益。美方的做法，同时也引起了印方的注意。如今，印度正值大选之际，可能暂时无暇顾及此事带来的影响。但之后，印度政府如果效仿美国，也采取对华加征关税的错误举动，中方同样会给予对等反制。

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