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金价创12年最大单日跌幅，中途休整还是牛市终结？_我的网站

A |     TOKYO -- Japan’s government asked a court Friday to revoke the legal status of the Unification Church after an Education Ministry investigation concluded the group for decades has systematically manipulated its followers into donating money, sowing fear and harming their families.The request submitted to the Tokyo District Court asks for it to issue a dissolution order revoking the church's status as a religious organization. Education Ministry officials submitted 5,000 pieces of documents and evidence in cardboard boxes to the court to support its request. The process involves hearings and appeals from both sides and would take a while. If the order is approved and its legal status is stripped, the church could still operate but would lose its tax exemption privilege as a religious organization and would face financial setbacks.The request was made a day after Education Minister Masahito Moriyama announced a panel of experts had endorsed the revocation request based on the findings of the ministry's investigation into the church's fundraising tactics and other allegations. The Japan branch of the South Korea-based church, which officially calls itself the Family Federation for World Peace and Unification, earlier condemned the government's decision.“It is our deepest regret that the Japanese government made the serious decision based on distorted information provided by a leftist lawyers’ group formed for the purpose of destroying our organization,” the church said in a statement late Thursday. “It will be a stain in Japan’s Constitutional history.”As part of the Education Ministry investigation, officials interviewed more than 170 people allegedly harmed by the church's fundraising tactics and other problems. The church failed to respond to dozens of questions during the seven inquiries, Moriyama said Thursday. The church tried to steer its followers’ decision-making, using manipulative tactics, making them buy expensive goods and donate beyond their financial ability and causing fear and harm to them and their families, Moriyama said Thursday. The tactics seriously deviated from the law on religious groups, in which the purpose of the churches’ legal status is to give people peace of mind, he said. “The activities are wrongful conducts under the Civil Code and their damages are immense.”The Agency for Cultural Affairs found 32 cases of civil lawsuits acknowledging damages totaling 2.2 billion yen ($14.7 million) for 169 people, while the amount of settlements reached in or outside court totaled 20.4 billion yen ($137 million) and involved 1,550 people, Moriyama said.Japan has in place hurdles for restraining religious activities due to lessons from the prewar and wartime oppression of freedom of religion and thought.The investigation followed months of public outrage and questions about the group’s fundraising and recruitment tactics after former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s assassination last year. The man accused of shooting Abe allegedly was motivated by the former prime minister’s links to the church that he blamed for bankrupting his family.Decades of cozy ties between the church and Japan’s governing Liberal Democratic Party were revealed since Abe's assassination and have eroded support for Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's government. Kishida told reporters Thursday that the government’s decision to seek the revocation order was made carefully based on facts and was not political, denying speculation it was intended to shore up dwindling public support.The Unification Church obtained legal status as a religious organization in Japan in 1968 amid an anti-communist movement supported by Abe’s grandfather, former Prime Minister Nobusuke Kishi.The church has acknowledged excessive donations but says the problem has been mitigated for more than a decade. It also has pledged further reforms.Experts say Japanese followers are asked to pay for sins committed by their ancestors during Japan’s 1910-1945 colonial rule of the Korean Peninsula, and that the majority of the church’s worldwide funding comes from Japan.If the church's status is revoked, it would be the first under civil law. Two earlier cases involved criminal charges — the Aum Shinrikyo doomsday cult, which carried out a sarin nerve gas attack on the Tokyo subway, and the Myokakuji group, whose executives were convicted of fraud.。    本文来自微信公众号：财联社 （ID：cailianpress），作者：卞纯                    周二，在过去一段时间持续攀高后，黄金价格受到明显打击，创下10多年来最大单日百分比跌幅。不过，许多分析师认为，这是一次早该出现的抛售，但这可能并不意味着金价涨势将就此结束。                   “这有点像黄金在原本畅通的高速公路上撞到了一个意想不到的坑。”Libertas Wealth Management Group总裁兼高级财务顾问Adam Koos周二表示，“它已经顺利地行驶了一段时间，但市场时不时地会猛踩刹车，以确保乘客仍然清醒。”                    周二，国际金价大跌，部分原因是在美国降息预期和避险需求推动创纪录上涨后，投资者获利了结。                   纽约商品交易所12月黄金期货收于每盎司4109.10美元，下跌5.7%。根据道琼斯市场数据公司对FactSet数据的分析，这是自2013年6月20日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅。

B | 而现货黄金价格盘中跌幅一度达到6.3%，这一跌幅创下了自2013年4月以来的最大单日下跌纪录，最终收跌5.3%，至每盎司4123.85美元。

C |                    StoneX市场分析师Fawad Razaqzada表示，金价在周一创下历史新高，随后在周二大幅回落，这引发了人们对金价是否已经触顶或仅仅是短暂回调的疑问。                   他在周二的一份报告中写道，周二是“贵金属领域遭遇重创的一天，考虑到之前金价一路飙升，这种抛售迟早会发生。

D | 甚至有些人会质疑这一天为何来得这么晚。

E | ”                    虽然“货币贬值交易”和投资者的防御性情绪推动了金价上涨，但Razaqzada指出，本周有几个因素削弱了这种防御性情绪。这些因素包括贸易紧张局势缓和、避险需求下降、美元反弹以及黄金投资者准备获利了结。                   然而，周二的下跌可能并不意味着涨势已经结束。                   Razaqzada表示，现在就认为整体牛市趋势已经结束还为时过早。“虽然回调是正常的，但值得指出的是，许多投资者错过了这轮大涨。很快，他们可能会进场，逢低买入，这应该会抑制抛售。”                    即使考虑到周二的下跌，黄金期货价格今年迄今仍上涨了近56%。                   世界黄金协会（WGC）美洲地区首席执行官兼全球研究主管Juan Carlos Artigas周二在X上表示，虽然有些人可能认为黄金价格昂贵，但“与全球股市相比，事实并非如此。”                    他补充道：“（黄金）价格并非孤立存在。价值总是与更广阔的市场环境相关。

F | ”                    Artigas表示，金融市场在经历了一段时间的快速上涨之后出现回调是正常的，就像黄金所经历的那样。他在电子邮件评论中表示，尽管过去几周金价的表现受到了动能因素的推动，但“我们认为金价的上涨也受到了强劲基本面的推动，比如地缘经济不确定性上升、美国货币供应稳步增加，以及利率下调。”                    他表示：“我们的分析显示，黄金投资市场尚未饱和，仍有增长空间。

G | ”                    世界黄金协会（WGC）周一发布的当周图表显示，以伦敦金银市场协会（LBMA）午后黄金定价周均值为代表的黄金价值，相对于以摩根士丹利资本国际全球指数（MSCI World Index）为代表的全球股市，仍远低于上世纪80年代以来的历史高点。

H |                    WGC在报告中表示：“我们仍然认为，黄金当前仍处于持仓不足状态……在建设性的基本面与全球流动性增强的支撑下，金价仍有进一步上涨的空间。

I | ”                    Libertas Wealth Management的Koos也指出，金价的下跌“看起来不像所有人都在等待的大抛售。”相反，他表示，“这看起来更像是在经历了一段漫长而平稳的上涨时期后的一次重新调整。”                    “金价几周来持续走高，因此一些获利了结，甚至是像这样的洗盘行情，都有助于在潜在的下一波上涨之前清除短期投机者，”Koos表示。                   他称，就目前而言，黄金的最新走势“感觉更像是中途停留，而不是旅程的终点”。

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